≡ Menu

Wise investing

From prediction markets to meme stocks to punting on the next momentum trade, so much of the noise about achieving wealth is the opposite of what we’d call wise investing. At least for ordinary people like you and me.

Actually, scratch that – the same goes for many of the professionals, too.

Consider the popular perception of coked-up City boys staring at banks of flashing monitors while simultaneously screaming into two phones and placing bets big enough to sink the economy – or even to blow up their $45bn AI fund.

That’s not investing. It’s speculation – or Hollywood myth – and it has little to nothing to do with how you build wealth.

Most rabid share traders fail to beat their do-less rivals, anyway.

A word to the wise

By contrast, wise investing is a long-term plan whereby you devote part of your income to buying a diversified portfolio of assets.

You choose assets that have a history of climbing in value (eventually, not constantly) and in some cases that also pay you a stream of income.

If you keep at it, this growing pot of capital and income together replaces your wages, pays your bills, and enables you to live off your assets for the rest of your life.

What most people want to know about investing

One of the little known truths of investing is that complexity does not equal success. You can achieve great results at a low cost by keeping things simple.

Monevator’s favourite strategy of passive investing is founded on that principle.

Know nothing experts

You should not feel that a lack of time, interest, or financial schooling is an obstacle to managing your own investment plan.

This is another of the counter-intuitive realities of investing. It seems complicated because the financial industry excels at conjuring up complexity. But a lot of the apparent ‘science’ is smoke-and-mirrors designed to convince you that you’re too dumb to understand it and should hire a pro for a fat fee instead.

Don’t fall for this.

To bust just a few of the myths, here are a few things that wise investing does not involve:

  • You do not have to worry about how many points the FTSE 100 moved yesterday or whether it’s time to sell gold.
  • You don’t have to bury yourself in analysts’ reports.
  • You don’t need to understand the inner workings of the economy.
  • You don’t need insider tips or access to secret trading strategies.
  • You avoid the ‘experts’ who reveal ‘The six secret biotech stocks they don’t want you to know about’ or want to flog you their options trading YouTube course. These are BS merchants.
  • You definitely don’t trade on apps that bait you with get-rich-quick opportunities in cryptocurrencies or whatever else they think they can sell you.

You don’t need any of that to be a wise investor.

Instead you do this

Start with your financial goals.

Perhaps you’d like to retire early (or at all), send the kids to uni, or buy a secret volcano base. Knowing the what, when and why enables you to estimate the four critical parts of your plan:

You then pick a portfolio of investment funds that invest in the asset classes best suited to meeting your investment goals.

Index trackers to the rescue

There are many different funds but as wise investors we invest in the type called index trackers.

Index tracker funds work because they are a brilliant way to diversify your wealth across the global asset classes at a super low cost to you.

You invest your cash into low-cost funds because that leaves more of your wealth in your pocket.

One of the most important decisions you’ll make is your split between equities and bonds. (Though we’d also suggest adding a few other diversifiers like gold, cash, and commodities in time, too.)

You put enough in equities to power you towards your goal.

You put enough in bonds to stop yourself freaking out when your equities tumble.

To buy and hold your index tracker funds, you’ll need an online investing account. Your account will be with a specialist fund retailer known as a platform or online broker. Your regular contributions can be automatically channelled into buying your chosen investments via this platform.

Choose the best platform to achieve your aims. Not the one with the sexiest adverts!

Be sure to maximise your returns by using legitimate tax shelters to protect every pound you can.

You then leave your portfolio alone and let your assets rise like buns in the oven. Stay the course and you will achieve your financial goals. Just like I did.

The sooner you start, the less money you’ll need to throw at your goals later on. That’s thanks to the snowball effect of compound interest.

Don’t panic

You must never sell in a panic. That’s a surefire way to torpedo your future with locked-in losses. You avoid that danger by only taking as much risk as you can handle.

To play safer, you mostly own fewer equities and more bonds. (Do note that bonds are not risk-free, however. Rather, they are usually ‘differently risky’ to equities.)

Don’t meddle with your plan on account of media scares, political crises, or fears about the ‘state of the economy’. You will come to realise the world is always said to be going to hell in a handbasket:

  • Recessions and depressions always lurk around the corner
  • Some region or other is always about to blow up
  • War, Famine, Pestilence and Death are always due in town
  • Someone’s always got a chart that proves we’re about to run out of food, water, oil, or ice cream cones…

And yet somehow civilisation survives.

So you should usually ignore the media, social media, your friends, and your own reptilian brain.

You can expect the stock market to fall often – roughly one year in three on average. No big deal. It’s always bounced back eventually, although it may not look like it at the time.

Ideally you’ll buy equities when they’re going cheap and then sell them later, when the herd has come out of hiding and is bidding top dollar. Luckily, a clever but simple investment technique called rebalancing helps you to do just that.

That’s easy to say but not easy to do. It takes courage to buy unpopular assets when the world is throwing them overboard.

But doing it by automatically following rules can help take the emotion out of the equation.

Don’t believe the hype

Whatever happens, don’t try to pick winners or losers. Accept that you do not know how events will play out and neither do the so-called experts.

Don’t get sucked into believing some guru can predict whether Bitcoin will make you a killing next year, or that an aging population makes drugs companies a sure bet.

If forecasters were better than astrologers then they’d make their fortune by acting exclusively on their secrets – not by sharing them on the Internet

Understand that it’s very hard to reap outsized returns from future trends, even when you back the right one. The big players know everything you do – and usually long before you do. They’ve already bid up the price before you bought in, curtailing your profits unless you catch a lucky break.

The passive investing mindset

The dos and don’ts we’ve just waltzed through are a quick intro to the principles of a strategy called passive investing. We believe this is the most effective strategy for most people.

Passive investing keeps things simple and lets you get on with the rest of your life. But it also gets results because it’s based on sound financial theory and investing habits that enable you to sidestep the conflicts of interest that riddle the financial services industry.

Once you understand how passive investing works, you’ll be equipped to set up and manage your own investments with minimal impact on your time.

This is what we call wise investing. Try it and give it some time and we think you’ll agree.

Take it steady,

The Accumulator

{ 4 comments }
Our Weekend Reading logo

What caught my eye this week.

I was more pleased than perhaps I should have been to see our No Cat Food model decumulation portfolio pulling away from the benchmark 60/40 portfolio.

Weekend Reading – featuring the week’s best money and investing articles from around the web – can be read by any logged-in Monevator member. Alternatively join our 14,423 subscribers to our free email newsletter to get future editions straight to your inbox.

{ 4 comments }

Money is power

Money is power post image

A couple of weeks ago, my friend K. hosted a housewarming at the new home she’d bought with her partner – and father of her lovely one-year-old. I recalled the discussion we’d had about how money is power back in 2018, which I’ve reposted below. For her part, K. regrets nothing, though she does miss being able to drop everything for a cheap flight. Which is great – but I’d add they weren’t able to buy a house in the areas they first targeted, and there wasn’t much in it. As in so many aspects of personal finance, I think we’re both right…

The look on my friend’s face was one you might deploy if you were presented with a charge for service at a McDonalds. Total incredulity.

“So let me get this straight – you’re putting a money value on your memories?”

“Well I wouldn’t state it so precisely,” I said. “But basically… yes.”

“Wow! That’s so sad! Experiences are worth more than money.”

“I agree,” I admitted. That puzzled look again. “But you’re experiencing something every moment of the day anyway. The question is whether the extra enhanced experience is worth the extra cost. Also – remember that when you spent all that money for those particular memories, you also bought a certain kind of experience you’ll have to live in the future, too.”

“Huh? I don’t get it.”

I topped up her wine.

“Look, neither of us are gazillionaires with infinite money. In particular, you don’t even have a job anymore, depending on whether they’ll take you back – and besides we spent the first half of this evening talking about how the reason you went away for three months was because you hated your work so much.”

“Right…”

“Okay, so you told me you spent half your savings on those three months of traveling. Which now the holiday is over exist only in your head – in as much as you can remember them. Which seems to be to a limited extent, possibly because so much of your holiday took place in various bars.”

“Alright, get on with it…”

“So that’s where we can start. Half your savings bought those memories. I’m not knocking that spending decision specifically – perhaps for you it was worthwhile. My point is you spent the money to buy them. Money that you can’t spend twice. So they certainly have a monetary value.”

“But there’s more,” I added in my winning way that makes me so popular at parties. “You’re in your early 30s – it’s possible you could have quadrupled that same money by age 65 if you’d invested it instead. So we know 65-year old you is going to have massively less money to spend because of those memories you bought and are already forgetting that you don’t think we should think about financially–”

“Yeah bu–”

“–you’re right! Let’s get back to experiences. You usually earn – what – £40,000 a year? After tax and National Insurance that’s going to be something like £30,000 in take home pay. Let’s divide that by 240 working days for easy maths, and say you take home £125 for every day of your life you sacrifice to work. Except since you have to go into the office, you spend more – we’ll call it £6 a day for travel, then add a let’s be honest low-ball £5 for lunch and coffees, and say £4 a day to cover the fact that you buy a certain amount of tidier clothes for work.”

“…”

“Knock that spending off the £125 and we’re at £110 a day or so take home. Really I’d like to take it down to £100 a day to cover stuff like ibuprofen, your inability to take off-peak mini-breaks, and all those late-night Ubers you order to have a mid-week social life while working. But we won’t. Let’s just say you spent £5,000 on your three month travels, which seems about right from what you’ve said.”

“I don’t know – something like that?” my friend allowed.

“Well, that’s about 45 days of your take home pay – equal to nine additional weeks of your life where you’re going to have to go into the job you hate to sit in an office you hate because you went on your three-month holiday.”

“Yeah, okay – it does sound worse when you put it like that. But then again I got three months away from the office for another three month’s or nine weeks or whatever spent at it. Seems a fair trade?”

“Um, well sadly I was being gentle on you. The reality is you’re not going to save anything like all your take home pay. You know how much it costs to live in London. You’ve also got to eat, go out now and then. Buy bottles of wine to bring to my house for these thrilling heart-to-hearts.”

“Yeah, I’m really glad about that decision…”

“Hah! Anyway, I’d guess you save about 10% of your take home pay, which means it could take you two years more at the office to get back the money you spent on your three months away from it. But let’s say you manage to save to save 20%. Still going to take the best part of a year more work to pay for it.”

“Okay, okay – at least I have the memories.”

“Good, because you’re going to need them while you’re sitting at work! That’s my point – you’re alive either way and still having experiences. When I said earlier [Editor’s note: I did, different discussion!] that I’m more and more trying to find regular moments of happiness in small things, this is what I meant – that I’m trying to focus on sustainable mild contentment rather than the sort of high-cost roller-coaster you’re on. Honestly, I’m not saying you did the wrong thing – not at all, your trip sounds amazing – but I am saying I personally would totally put a cost on those memories, both in terms of the financial outlay and/or the price to be paid in terms of extra work by your future self.”

“Okay, fine, I spent the money. But that’s what money is for, right, to spend and have a good time? What’s the point of just sitting on a big pile of money like a bloody nerd-dragon, counting it in your cave? Even you bought this flat… eventually.”

“Ha ha, nerd-dragon, I’m stealing that! Yeah, I agree. Remember I think and write about this stuff a lot – I’ll probably even turn our conversation into a blog post! So I know this might all sound a weird way of looking at things to someone who doesn’t. But what I think it comes down to is how much do you value your future over your present – or in the case of memories, your past – and how do you strike a balance.”

“Go on…”

“So personally, I’ve always found it very easy to value the future. I saved some paper round money 30 years ago that went into making up the deposit on this flat! I’d always rather have most of my money invested, and to know I’ll have more options in the future because of that. Whereas we both know you live for the present – you’re a great party girl – and you’ve never thought much about tomorrow. That’s obvious. As for the Past You, I guess that’s where the monetary value on memories come in? Also possibly feelings of life satisfaction, and not having regrets, which is what I have to guard against for with my approach. Although thinking about it, I suppose that’s really your Present You trying to anticipate and stop your Future You regretting what your Past You didn’t do and–”

“– stop stop I get it. But I still don’t really see how this doesn’t mean money is there to be spent? Whether you spend it now, or when you’re 90 or whenever?”

“Absolutely, ultimately that’s what money is for. But I think it’s helpful not to always think of it as money but sometimes as something else.”

“Something else like what?”

“Well sometimes I like to think of money as stored power. You build up your power by working and saving, and hopefully your investments charge it up further, too. But sometimes you have to run the battery down – that’s when you spend it. You can spend it on something now, but that means you’re going to have to work more in the future to charge it back up. Or you can try to get to the point where you have enough power stored away that it sort of auto-re-charges. And then you have maximum flexibility to spend it how you like indefinitely.”

“…”

“Did that make sense?” I concluded.

“Err, sort of. You know this is why you’re single again, don’t you?”

{ 49 comments }

Six months ago I groused about our model retirement portfolio falling short of the magic £400,000 mark. Then I promptly withdrew £21,000 for this year’s living expenses and set the pot further back.

Now? Our income-wrangling machine has vaulted £43,000 to £421,617.

This article can be read by selected Monevator members. Please see our membership plans and consider joining! Already a member? Sign in here.
{ 27 comments }